Tuesday, November 9, 2004

Week 10 NFL Preview

At 53-74, I'm really not okay (I promise).  I don't know why anyone would listen to me at this point, but I will carry on with this pointless feature!

Take the Ravens -1.5  The Jets proved last week in Buffalo that their offense cannot handle a top notch defense.  Now they run into the best of the best. 

Take the Jets +1.5  Home underdogs are usually attractive.  The Ravens offense is terrible so if the Jets can score just a little, it might be enough.

Take the Steelers -4  They just defeated the last two unbeaten teams and didn't even sweat doing it.  They are the new top dog.

Take the Browns +4  1) The Browns have been a very different team when playing at home- almost good!  2) The Steelers I'm sure needed a lot of emotional energy to win their last two big games.  Going on the road now could be a letdown.

Take the Colts -9.5  The Colts have the best passing offense in the league and the Texans are one of the worst defenses against the pass.  They have already been smoked by Brees, Culpepper, and Plummer.  Now they get Manning.

Take the Texans +9.5  The Texans have been competitive in most of their games.  They might be scrappy enough to cover the big spread.

Take the Titans -7  The Titans know they can't afford to lose any more games, they should be able to get up for this one after a bye week to prepare.  They have lost enough home games already- time to repair that record.

Take the Bears +7  The Bears are playing inspired defense right now and quietly have a winning streak going.  They will not be a pushover.  They covered a huge spread last week by winning outright.

Take the Falcons -3.5  The Falcons finally, finally! turned Vick loose in their last game and were rewarded with victory.  I think the rest of the league is in trouble now.

Take the Buccaneers +3.5  The Bucs are another team with a very quiet winning streak after a bad start.  If they don't get this one, the Falcons will have an insurmountable 4 game lead in the division.  The Bucs should be ready at home.

Take the Jags -3  They may have lost their quarterback but they still have that awesome defense.  Lions' QB Joey Harrington has looked shaky and could very easily struggle on the road.

Take the Lions +3  The Lions have actually been better on the road than at home.  3-1 compared to 1-3.  The Jags will struggle to score with their backup quarterback.  Take the underdog in a low scoring game.

Take the Rams -1  Both of these teams have struggled more than expected.  Go with the home team.

Take the Seahawks +1  The Seahawks have not been the same team since they were exposed by the Rams during that big comeback a few weeks ago.  This has revenge game potential.

Take the Chiefs -4.5  The Saints are dismal.  They have clearly given up on their coach and are already playing out the stretch.  The Chiefs know they can't afford any more hiccups or the division will be lost for good.

Take the Saints +4.5  The one thing the Saints have is offensive potential and even the lowly Bucs offense put up 34 against the terrible Chiefs D.

Take the Redskins -3  The Skins have been playing close games lately and with so many bad teams in the NFC, they are not nearly out of it.  The Bengals have been awful on the road and could give up a lot on the ground to Portis.

Take the Bengals +3  The Bengals have won two of the last three and could be coming around as they did last year at this time.  Chad Johnson will give the Skins D fits.

Take the Packers -4  It's becoming an annual tradition- Packers start slow and the Vikings start fast, then collapse and watch the Packers overtake them.  The Packers are going to blow them away.

Take the Vikings +4  The Pack have won three games in a row, but ran into that momentum killing bye.  The Vikings coming off two stinging losses will be more ready to play.  It wasn't that long ago that Green Bay was 1-4.  They're not that good.

Take the Giants -2.5  Coach Coughlin has yet to lose two in a row with the Giants.  You know they heard it from him about that second consecutive unforgivable home loss.  They have been a better road team this year.

Take the Cardinals +2.5  Even when they were in the same division, the Cards game was no gimmee.  It's hard to get up to play in a half empty stadium.  The Giants have fallen into the Arizona trap many times in my lifetime and I could see it happening again.

Take the 49ers -1  Two teams going nowhere.  The Panthers are so decimated by injuries, I don't know if they can ever field a competitive team again this season.  Go with the home team in this stinker.

Take the Panthers +1  The 49ers are the worst team in the league.  Even the Panthers back ups can probably beat them.

Take the Patriots -8.5   The champions proved last week that they can still do whatever it takes to win- wide receivers playing flawless cornerback out of necessity!  They are very much a force to be reckoned with and the Bills don't have the offense to keep up.

Take the Bills +8.5  This is the season for the Bills.  They have put together a modest winning streak and have positioned themselves to be officially back in it if they can win at Foxboro.  Also, the line is pretty huge for a team with such a good defense.

Take the Eagles -6.5  Could be a bounce back week for Philly.  TO and McNabb will want to prove that everything is fine in paradise.  The Cowboys, meanwhile are falling apart, only scoring 3 points against the Bengals (worst defense in the league)

Take the Cowboys +6.5  Hard to pick against the Boys at home on a national stage, especially with a fairly big line.   Parcells will have his team ready.

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