Wednesday, November 3, 2004

Week 9 NFL Preview

I've just spent approximately 20 hours watching election coverage, so I may not be able to get enough adrenaline going to make this post as long as it could be:

Take the Jets -3  Abraham is having a defensive MVP type season.  The Bills are the only team I've watched where I could predict when they would get sacked.  I would have given away more than 3 points here.

 Take the Bills +3  Like I said last week, the Bills are not as bad as their record.  Being at home for the second straight week, they could jump at this chance to possibly get back in the mix.

 Take the Eagles -1.5  I think we see a Steelers let down this week.  No team, when faced with playing two consecutive teams of 6-0 or better has ever won both games.  Plus, the Eagles have T.O, who has been the ultimate difference maker for Philly.

Take the Steelers +1.5  The Steelers are a lot more physical than people realize since every one is talking about Big Ben.  The Steelers have already taken down Parcells and Belichick- that's impressive- there may be no one who can outcoach them.  I can't believe I would say that about a Cowher team.

 Take the Lions -3.5  I personally witnesssed the Lions two weeks ago and if they can do all the same things they did to the Giants, they have a pretty good chance, especially at home finally.  The Redskins and Gibbs realize they are going nowhere this year and have a budding QB controversy and an unhappy RB to deal with.

Take the Redskins +3.5  The Lions have not fared well at home and they are pretty decimated on offense.  The Redskins feel they were robbed last week by the officials and will be more ready to play than a Lions team coming off a dismantling by the Cowboys.

Take the Cowboys -1.5  The Cowboys are in the only easy part of their schedule.  They have to get this game if they want to contend.  Cincinnati's defense is terrible and Testaverde looked almost young last week.  He could pick them apart.

Take the Bengals +1.5  Both of these teams are underachieving, but the Bengals played pretty well at home last time out against the Broncos.  Chad Johnson is a real deal receiver and if he shows up, it gives the offense a chance to offset the bad defense.

 Take the Panthers -6.5  The Raiders are a team that has already given up on the season while the Panthers have not.  Both teams have bad records but Carolina's defeats have been a lot closer.  I think they are the better team here.

Take the Raiders +6.5  The battle of the ultimate Super Bowl Hangovers.  I'm still waiting for that break-out game where Kerry Collins proves why he is still in the league.  Could be this week against a former team of his.

Take the Dolphins -3  Last Monday notwithstanding, the Dolphins defense is pretty good.  Meanwhile, the Cardinals have been doing their best to match the Lions record for road futility. 

 Take the Cardinals +3  One coach has his team playing well and on the verge of overachieving.  The other is going to be the first one fired at the end of the season.  Who do you think the players are going to play for?

 Take the Chiefs -3  101 points in two games.  The Chiefs are back.

 Take the Buccaneers +3  The Chiefs scored those 101 points at home.  They haven't been nearly as good on the road.  The Bucs defense is still respectable and they have had a week to prepare.

 Take the Giants -9  The Giants proved that the loss to the Lions was all because of me being there live.  The defense is playing way over their heads and creating more turnovers than any other team.  They made an MVP candidate look like a joke.  What will they do to a rookie making his second start?

Take the Bears +9  I can't remember a single game in my football watching lifetime where the Giants have covered a huge spread.  It just doesn't happen.  The Bears have a decent enough defense to potentially hang around in this game.  The Giants sure looked sloppy in the last home game they were "supposed to win."

 Take the Seahawks -6.5  The 49ers proved on Sunday night that they are the worst team in the league.  Seattle, meanwhile proved that they were back to their winning ways.

Take the 49ers  +6.5  The Seahawks have proven in their last two road games that they are just not that good away from home.  They could slack off just like they did in Arizona.

 Take the Chargers -6  The Chargers are for real.  They are the highest scoring team in the league! 

Take the Saints +6  The Saints are getting healthy.  Plus, they still have that enigma thing going.  If the Chargers were still bad I would be more worried.  Now that the Chargers are good, I feel more confident that New Orleans can win this one.

 Take the Patriots -3  It even happened to the Pats.  As soon as you lose one single game, all the experts want to write you off.  They were overdue for one stinker and now all of a sudden, people have the Jets taking the division.  They are still well-coached.  They are still the Patriots.

 Take the Rams +3  One thing you like from the Rams side- both starting corners are out for New England and the Rams are loaded at wide receiver.  It could be a long day for the suddenly vulnerable Pats defense.

 Take the Broncos -6  Jake Plummer put up huge passing numbers last week and the Texans pass defense is their weak point.  They gave up a lot of long bombs to Culpepper and the Vikings a few weeks ago.

Take the Texans +6  I think this is the joke of the week from Vegas.  Just proves again that they love their Broncos.  They are on a two game losing streak where they were not competitive in either game.  The Texans are riding high in the meantime.  Whatever, Vegas betting line!

 Take the Ravens -6  REVENGE game of the week.  The Browns stunned Baltimore in Week 1.  Ray Lewis is steamed over his war of words with T.O. and will be looking to hit any receiver that takes the field.  Plus, the triumphant return of Jamal Lewis who was more than halfway to a thousand yard season in just the two Browns games last year.

Take the Browns +6  The Browns won in Week 1 because they stacked up to stop Jamal Lewis.  Why wouldn't they do it again?  Kyle Boller at QB scares no one.  6 is a lot of points in what will probably be a low scoring game.

 Take the Colts -6  Finally a good game on Monday night for once.  The Vikings defense is bad as the Giants proved.  Manning should light them up.  Plus, it looks like Moss will be out- the Vikings proved they really do miss him.  It will be hard for them to keep up.

Take the Vikings +6  Now that they know they don't have Moss, they will be able to prepare properly and use all the other weapons all the experts have been talking about.  The Giants simply get into Culpepper's head for whatever reason.  He should be back to normal Monday night.

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